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Ruben Vardanyan in Baku: Why the World Watches — and Why Armenians Argue Among Themselves

Ruben Vardanyan in Baku: Why the World Watches — and Why Armenians Argue Among Themselves

Some stories read like routine news. Others read like a verdict on an era. The case of Ruben Vardanyan belongs to the second category.

 

On September 27, 2023, Azerbaijani authorities detained Vardanyan while he was traveling from Nagorno-Karabakh to Armenia via the Lachin corridor, and criminal charges were soon announced.Since then, he has remained in custody in Baku, and his case has become a political symbol: for some, a hostage of the post-2023 reality; for others, a legal extension of what Azerbaijan frames as national security.

 

The arrest itself is documented. What followed is where facts, legal narratives, and public emotions often collide.

 

Vardanyan is not an ordinary figure. He served as the State Minister of the de facto authorities in Nagorno-Karabakh in 2022–2023.He entered Artsakh as a high-profile businessman and philanthropist, publicly renounced Russian citizenship, and tied his personal reputation to the fate of the region.That is why his detention is read not only as a criminal case, but as a message: Baku is demonstrating that it can shape realities on the ground — and close the political biographies of those it considers opponents.

 

From the Armenian side and among some rights advocates, concerns have been raised about fair-trial guarantees and access to legal defense. Armenia’s Foreign Ministry has referenced broader concerns about treatment and the need for international engagement.Amnesty International has called on Azerbaijan to ensure fair trial rights and to investigate Vardanyan’s allegations of violations in detention, emphasizing access to lawyers and adequate time to prepare a defense.

 

Azerbaijan, meanwhile, argues that the charges relate to national security and frames the case within its legal system and official positions.

 

One particularly controversial milestone was the opinion of the UN Working Group on Arbitrary Detention (Opinion No. 46/2024), which concluded that the case was not one of arbitrary detention.This outcome triggered sharp criticism in multiple analyses and commentaries.

 

This leads to the emotionally charged question many Armenians ask: why does the world “not intervene”?

 

The uncomfortable truth is that international institutions rarely have a “rescue button.” Their tools are procedures, statements, monitoring, legal mechanisms, and — in some cases — state-driven sanctions. But political will and geopolitical cost often matter more than moral outrage.

 

Vardanyan’s case sits at the intersection of conflict fatigue, energy and regional interests, and legal narratives that one side calls “political persecution” while the other labels “national security.” That is why the world often appears to be watching — while, in reality, it is bargaining, delaying, proceduralizing, and minimizing risk. Cold? Yes. But this is how international politics works.

 

Inside Armenia, another dangerous question emerges: “Who betrayed him?” The problem is that there is no publicly verified, legally established evidence pointing to a single identifiable “traitor.” Turning speculation into accusation only fuels internal fragmentation — precisely when society needs strategic clarity.

 

If one insists on a journalistically honest answer, it may be this: Vardanyan was not “betrayed” by one person. He was trapped by a system — a system where strategy proved weaker than events, where internal conflict outweighed coherence, and where the public still argues more about the past than about the future.

 

What happens next depends largely on political cost. If the continued detention becomes too expensive in terms of international reputation, negotiations, and external relationships, windows may open. Until then, inertia will dominate.

 

Vardanyan’s story is not only about him. It is about whether Armenians can move beyond searching for simplistic culprits — and instead build institutions strong enough that no individual is left alone against geopolitics.

 

By Lida Nalbandyan, Founder and CEO of Octopus Media Group

19.12.2025

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